The Impact of Time Horizon on Classification Accuracy: Application of Machine Learning to Prediction of Incident Coronary Heart Disease

Steven Simon   ¹ , BA, MD ;   Divneet Mandair   ² , BA, MD ;   Abdel Albakri   ² , BA, MD ;   Alison Fohner   ³ , PhD ;   Noah Simon   ⁴ , PhD ;   Leslie Lange   ⁵ , PhD ;   Mary Biggs   ⁶ , PhD ;   Kenneth Mukamal   ⁷ , MD ;   Bruce Psaty   ^{3, 8} , MD, PhD ;   Michael Rosenberg   ¹ , MD

¹ Division of Cardiology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States

² University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, United States

³ Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States

⁴ Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States

⁵ Division of Biomedical Informatics and Personalized Medicine, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO, United States

⁶ Cardiovascular Health Research Unit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States

⁷ Department of Medicine, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, United States

⁸ Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States